A short selection of news on housing, valuation, credit and construction, each with a comment of mine. It is not a newspaper: a few entries a week, and every comment is mine, word for word.
José Covas FRICS
ECO · 11 November 2026
INE confirma subida da inflação para 3,8% em outubro (in Portuguese)
Comment by José Covas, FRICS: INE confirmed inflation as measured by the CPI. In the Barometer I show the harmonised index (HICP), which Eurostat puts at 3.9% for Portugal in October 2026, after 3.6% in September. They are two measures of the same thing, with slightly different coverage.
Público · 10 November 2026
Banca estimula procura por crédito, mas justifica preços das casas com falta de oferta (in Portuguese)
Comment by José Covas, FRICS: Two official figures for this discussion. The median bank valuation reached €2,278/m² in September 2026, 14.2% more than a year earlier (INE), and the agreed rate on new housing loans was 3.07%, against 2.84% in September 2025 (Banco de Portugal). A bank valuation measures the value the bank accepts as collateral, not the price paid.
Expresso · 9 November 2026
Contabilistas escrevem a Montenegro por causa do IVA na construção: “Uma boa medida pode perder grande parte da sua eficácia” (in Portuguese)
Comment by José Covas, FRICS: Construction cost is the backdrop to this debate: INE’s index for new housing stood at 135.69 in September 2026 (2021 = 100), 7.4% above September 2025. The index measures materials and labour; it excludes land, permits, developer margin and taxes (including VAT).
Expresso · 9 November 2026
Preços das casas sobem mais de 60% face aos rendimentos em Portugal numa década, o maior aumento da UE (in Portuguese)
Comment by José Covas, FRICS: Eurostat’s data in the Barometer show the gap on the price side: in Q2 2026 housing in Portugal was 16.5% more expensive than a year earlier, against 4.7% in the European Union. The price-to-income ratio is not in the Barometer; on the income side, I show wages (labour cost index, +5.4% in the same quarter).
Not a valuation, and not investment advice. A valuation for mortgage lending in Portugal is carried out by a valuer registered with the CMVM. No forecasts, and no recommendations to buy, sell or borrow.